Fantasy Football 2009 Review
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Well, the results are in for the fantasy football preseason ranking award Fantazzle won last year. No repeat / :
We had a decent ranking in the QB ranking, but didn’t place in the other positions. Its too bad, but you can’t win ‘em all and no one can take 2008 away from us (this isn’t college sports hehe). I think it will be great to start seeing an average created over the past several years and the future. Hopefully we’ll see a strong showing by Fantazzle with the average and a strong showing with our fantasy football 2010 predictions.
Fantazzle did a series of preseason NFL predictions before the season started. With the Super Bowl approaching, lets take a look at how we did.
Lets start with the NFL NFC 2009 Predictions
NFC East
Our analysis on how the standing could turn out here were pretty close. Key injuries were important, but there actually were not many of them in the division. I would say the biggest injuries that happened in the NFC East were to the NYG’s defense. Their whole was nicked up from start to finish and they ultimately became the team that lost out in the division and on our predicted Wild Card spot. We got Dallas right winning the division and Philly getting a WC. And we were right that it was a coin flip on who would take it. Dallas and Philly had the same record and the division winner was determined in Week 17. We were off saying Washington had a shot at the playoffs as well. We didn’t give them much of a chance, but they didn’t even deserve a mention. They were absolutely embarrassing.
With regards to our fantasy football player predictions, we were on point about Tony Romo. He finished ~6th in most leagues and two of the QBs ahead of him were so close it really didn’t matter which player you owned. He was easily a Tier 2 QB and a real bargain at draft time. We liked WAS as a BYE week and situational play defense. We weren’t right, but weren’t exactly wrong. It really depends on the scoring of your league. WAS was horrible in most leagues because they did not score many fantasy points in categories like INTs, fumbles recovered and most especially defensive TDs (they got 0). However, if you played in a league that gave points for points against or yards given up, they were ok. WAS had one of the better defenses, but was FAR from special. At the end of the day, we’ll take a ‘we were wrong’ here. Lastly, we said PHI and NYG WRs will not be good fantasy picks. Our reasoning was that these teams will spread the ball around and in NYG’s situation who the heck knows who will come out of the pack before the season starts. Well, it was Steve Smith and he was a top 10 WR. Not to mention DeSean Jackson who was a top 5. Way off here. I will say in defense that Steve Smith was still a risky pick because things weren’t settled in who would be the guy before the season started and DeSean Jackson was one catch away every game of being an average WR. Just so happens that in over half of his games he would come up with a over 40 yard reception for a TD. In any case, we owe you all one there.
NFC North
Our Super Bowl pick, the Minnesota Vikings walked away with the division. They were looking like a great pick for the Super Bowl until last weekend when they met our NFC South divisional pick. We were right on the money with our divisional picks here except we pulled the trigger on NYG to be the Wild Card over GB. Other than that, great predicitions.
Onto the fantasy football player predictions. Not so good. You’d think we were a handicapper instead of a fantasy football game site. Our division standings were great, but our fantasy football picks, not so much. Greg Olsen did not have a big year as predicted. We went as far as saying he would be a top 3 TE. He came in 11th, not breaking the top 10. Very frustrating as he had so much potential (next year…?). Aaron Rodgers overrated? Not so much, he was the #1 fantasy football QB in most leagues. We knew he was top 5 material, we just didn’t think he was worth all the hype. I guess now we know (its beyond me how he did it with such a bad offensive line in front of him…he deserves even more credit).
We finally had a good call with the GB defense. We had them ranked relatively high and our biggest D/ST sleeper. They didn’t disappoint with a top 5 finish.
NFC South
Again, we did very well with the division standings and writeup. We liked the NO Saints to win for two reasons: A) the moves they made in the off season specifically Darren Sharper leading the defense and B) the past 6 years the team that finished last, finished first the next season (TB in 2010…?).
As far as fantasy players, we had Marques Colston returning to his former self which is pretty close. He was just outside of the top 10 and finished where we expected him to. Michael Clayton relevant again….shoot me in my head now. I just want to forget that was ever said. Moving on…Tony Gonzales risky. Hmmm, not so much now that the season is over. He found his groove with Ryan. He finished ~5th. Down from last year, but definitely not a bust. I still stand by staying away from him before knowing what we know. Its always a risky situation. Lastly, we said that DeAngelo would be a risky RB pick. We thought he would play well and be a top 10, but not command an early first round pick. We were correct with this. He finished 12th and even if he did not get injured at the end, he would have been right around where we expected him to be.
NFC West
Well we didn’t see this division correctly. We had Seattle winning the division and AZ feeling the effects of the Super Bowl curse (in fact it was PIT who were cursed). We did, however see something in the 49ers as they stayed competitive in the division and have a bright future.
Its kind of funny, but the one division we were totally off on for standings, we may some great fantasy football predictions. We asked why everyone was looking at Steven Jackson as a top 5 fantasy RB. He finished in the top 10, but he wasn’t close to being a great pick in the first round. Vernon Davis was DEFINITELY worth a roster spot. Wish we were more bold on our writeup, but we did see something special in V Davis. He has the skills to continue to play this well for years to come. We loved Nate Burleson and he delivered. He finished ~30th making him an easy #3 WR or flex on many fantasy football teams. He wasn’t drafted in many leagues. A complete steal. John Carlson was the ~11th best fantasy football TE making him a starting TE in a 12 person league. We liked him a little more than this finish (we had him as the 8th best), but still a pretty close prediction. Our J Jones prediction…not so good. We thought he was one of the most under-rated RBs in 2009. Not so much. Sorry about that one. We had him as 16th and he finished ~32nd.
Playoffs
We did pretty well with our playoff predictions. We got AZ wrong (we had SEA) and the 2nd WC spot wrong (we had NYG and it was GB). DAL vs MIN for the NFC conference was one week too early of a matchup. And MIN to represent the NFC was one Brett Favre INT away from happening….Still all in all, I don’t feel too bad about the picks.
We could have done better with our fantasy football advice here. We hit some and others not so much. We’ll look to have a stronger showing in 2010.
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